Narrative A

Though Israel could overcome this chaos with a unified government, this won't be achieved while Netanyahu leads the Likud. His strategies show that he wants to destabilize the government for his own political advantage.

Narrative B

Netanyahu's chances of returning to power seem better by the day as the public is fed up with the government's continued deadlock and inaction. He's the only one that can solve this political crisis and form a stable government.

Narrative C

The broad coalition vowed to change Israeli-Palestinian relations for the better but it was just another empty promise. There has been no breakthrough while dealing with the occupation and settlements, and tensions have run high since it took power.

Nerd narrative

There's a 43% chance that Netanyahu will be Prime Minister of Israel again by 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Establishment-critical narrative

The Buhari admin. successfully fought the BH threat in the northeast, only to see Islamist insurgency and violence from "bandits" and "unknown gunmen" spreading across other parts of the country. In response, the federal government offers only rhetoric and a lackadaisical attitude that allows this violence to continue. It's time for Buhari to back up his words with actions.

Pro-establishment narrative

Although security challenges remain, the Buhari admin. is doing all it can to solve them, and has made important recent breakthroughs. By modernizing law enforcement forces and adopting a zero tolerance policy for crime, it has been able to improve Nigeria's position in the ranking of most terrorized nations. There is a long way to go, but the government is taking the threats seriously.

Cynical narrative

As the plight of Ukrainians mobilizes international aid and last year saw thousands gather for "Black Lives Matter" demonstrations, shouldn't something be done to help Nigerian Christians who have been systematically killed and displaced? Western governments are failing them and the press remains silent.

Anti-Russia narrative

This invasion is an egregious violation of international law. Putin's ultimate aim is to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes massive bloodshed and false pretexts such as calling the 2014 Ukrainian revolution after a fraudulent election a "coup". This unprovoked attack is the latest chapter in Putin's Orwellian attempt to rewrite history.

Pro-Russia narrative

NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.

Nerd narrative

There is a 20% chance that Ukraine will receive a security guarantee from another country before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Establishment-critical narrative

Decades of conflict have left Afghanistan impoverished and unable to improve resilience for deadly earthquakes. There is real concern that the people in the hardest-hit areas have lost what little resources they had before this disaster. Even prior to the Taliban gaining control of the country, Afghanistan's emergency services were overwhelmed with few resources - showing the toll of endless wars. The international community has a moral obligation to step up.

Pro-establishment narrative

The United Nations and the international aid community are trying the best they can in Afghanistan, but they are stretched thin and have been unable to raise enough funds. This earthquake adds to the list of needs that already has international organizations battling factors including chronic malnutrition, unemployment, and the worst drought the area has seen in 37 years. Global institutions are trying to persevere in the face of these shocks and stressors.

Right narrative

With parents understandably withdrawing their children from public schools in droves, this is the biggest win for school choice advocates in a long time. Some parents prefer non-sectarian private schools or homeschooling, while others prefer religion-based schools, and this ruling affords the latter the opportunity to make those decisions for their own children.

Left narrative

SCOTUS' new conservative majority has effectively declared that the separation of church and state - a central pillar of the US Constitution - is unconstitutional. The consequences could be dire, including expulsions of teachers and students who don't comply with Christianity for starters. American's tax dollars could now potentially fund schools that force students to partake in religious activities and worship.

Establishment-critical narrative

The boldness of these Iranian naval maneuvers shows that Iran has a sense of superiority in the region. The Iranian navy isn't going to stop antagonizing the US in the Strait of Hormuz until Washington removes its sanctions on the Islamic Republic. Until then, the US will only continue to aimlessly - and dangerously - patrol and surveil the waters.

Pro-establishment narrative

The Iranian Guard has acted irresponsibly in the Strait of Hormuz for decades, having been involved in piracy and causing crises in the region for 40 years. Yet again, they have violated international law and put US military personnel at risk.

Nerd narrative

There's a 23% chance that the US will rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Left narrative

Thanks to the perseverance of Democrats demanding common-sense gun control, Republicans have finally signed some, albeit moderate, gun measures. This is an important first step towards more advanced gun legislation in the future, such as maybe finally banning assault weapons.

Right narrative

There's every indication there will be a red wave in the midterm elections; Republican support for this bill is thus incomprehensible from a politically strategic standpoint. But beyond that, these laws are mostly fluff that will do nothing to prevent future mass shootings, which will only give Democrats more leverage when they inevitably call for outright gun confiscation in the future.

Nerd narrative

There's a 1% chance that the Second Amendment of the United States Constitution will be amended or repealed before 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-Trump narrative

Trump knows a loser when he sees one, and once Brooks was disloyal the former president had an easy call to make. With this seat a lock for the GOP, Trump knows he'll have another loyalist in the Senate come 2023.

Democratic narrative

This is the immoral state of the GOP. If you're not a servile stooge to Trump and his election lies, you get dumped in the blink of an eye. Where this will take democracy, no one knows.

Establishment-critical narrative

While it was a long and hard-fought journey, Mr. Hardeman's perseverance has finally held Monsanto and Bayer accountable for corporate malfeasance and opened up the opportunity for thousands of other cancer patients to obtain justice for themselves and their families. Corporations are being held accountable.

Pro-establishment narrative

The EPA has ruled Roundup a safe product and Bayer has won four consecutive cases in state courts. These costly settlements against companies who do their due diligence are risking the future of innovation in agriculture, health, and other industries.

Narrative A

Home sales have now returned to the more sustainable - and rational - levels of 2019, before the pandemic-induced spending spree set in. This is good news although high mortgage rates will be a challenge for some buyers, they will also slacken demand and help to bring prices back to reality.

Narrative B

Higher mortgage rates may be necessary to cool off inflationary pressures, but they're making homes even more unaffordable for the vast majority of Americans. Homes that were affordable for middle-class Americans with a monthly budget of $2,500 are now well out of reach given the recent rate hikes and their impact on mortgage rates.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller City Composite Home Price NSA Index will be at least 295 for January 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.