Pro-establishment narrative

The US and its allies have a moral responsibility to support Ukraine against this brutal Russian invasion. Ukraine will sustain losses, but it must persevere in fighting Putin as the necessary counterweight to this aggression.

Establishment-critical narrative

While arming Ukraine is seemingly the only thing Democrats and Republicans can agree on, waging a proxy war with a nuclear super power won't save America from the problems it faces at home. Why risk a world war to repair a broken democracy?

Nerd narrative

There is a 3% chance that Ukraine will join the European Union before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-Trump narrative

Republican politicians need to acknowledge the illegitimacy and bias of this gaggle of witch hunters. They should refuse to participate in the Committee's offer to tie up and toss the Democrats' political opponents into the metaphoric lake.

Democratic narrative

There's no way for the GOP to defend itself. Other than Cheney and Kinzinger, and some other incumbents who are retiring, the rest of the party has fallen in lock step with glorifying an insurrection that attempted to end democratic rule in the US.

Republican narrative

Though Russia's war in Ukraine has disrupted global petroleum markets, Biden has made things worse by implementing anti-fossil fuel policies and isolating the US' Gulf allies since the beginning of his presidency. He has failed to properly address this crisis, and he even canceled an oil and gas lease sale for over 1M acres in Alaska last week, citing a "lack of industry interest."

Democratic narrative

The spike in gas prices is a direct result of Russia's war on Ukraine, the ramp-up of sanctions on Russian oil, and continuing supply recovery problems following the pandemic. There's little that Biden could've done to prevent such a price hike, and gas prices aren't only rising in the US but across the Western world. OPEC's decision will hopefully alleviate the current crisis.

Democratic narrative

Trump claims his call to Raffensperger was "perfect," and prosecutors think so too they're calling it "incredibly strong evidence" to support criminal charges. Trump was the leader of the free world when he made that call, and he demanded that Raffensperger 'flip' the election or face potential legal consequences, which is obviously a crime.

Pro-Trump narrative

If Willis thinks Trump's phone call is going to lead to criminal charges, she's naïve. The call proves that Trump was making sure Raffensperger was doing all he could to make sure the election was fair, even if the former president didn't do it tactfully. This grand jury is a waste of taxpayer money and court resources.

Cynical narrative

The DOJ and state DAs like Fani Willis are all playing catch-up. They have likely heard rumors about the damning evidence that the Jan. 6 Committee will present at public hearings starting next week and - in anticipation of a public outcry - they are finally taking action to hold the former president and his allies accountable.

Democratic narrative

The US has once again been reminded that gun violence can reach all American children. This new legislative package is a much-needed and long-awaited example of humanity, decency and action - the GOP should now be held responsible for passing the measures to curb further tragedies.

Republican narrative

This legislation will do nothing to curb gun violence. Most attacks are committed by over 21s and proposed changes to serial numbers and gun registries would be expensive as well as ineffective. These changes won't protect children, they'll only curb Americans' rights.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that by 2029 there will be at least 1.37 civilian-held small firearms per capita in the US (about 14% more than now) according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-establishment narrative

The US has an opportunity to help Ukrainian fighters build on their early success and end the Russian invasion. Electronic warfare was one of the US' main military advantages in the Cold War, and it can be used again here to slow down and confuse Russian forces, without leading to direct casualties. The US has a moral obligation to do all it can to support Ukraine without engaging in direct conflict.

Establishment-critical narrative

This is but the latest example of Western hypocrisy and provocation of Moscow. The US and NATO have both indicated in the past that they believe cyberattacks could be just cause for war, yet apparently only when they come from one side. Meanwhile, Biden's continuous warnings of Russian cyberattacks have failed to materialize...

Nerd narrative

There is a 26% chance that critical US infrastructure will be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Right narrative

Things clearly aren't as sunny as the Biden administration would have us believe. There's still a lot of anxiety over a profit recession because consumers are working down their savings, and their spending will inevitably slow down soon. What's happening at Tesla will happen everywhere without better economic policies.

Left narrative

While the jury's still out on whether a recession is coming, the downturn at Tesla is self-inflicted. There's been no fall in demand for Tesla cars or other EVs; Tesla's stock price dipped when Musk began his still-pending pursuit of Twitter. Now this message goes public, further decreasing the stock price.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that Tesla's market capitalization will be at least 1.6 trillion dollars by January 1, 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Democratic narrative

This is bad news for Navarro, who's facing up to a year in prison and possibly a minimum of a month in jail. But it could be worse for Trump and others involved in trying to stop the certification of the 2020 election results. This sends a message there will be consequences for not answering a subpoena from the Jan. 6 committee.

Pro-Trump narrative

There's no coincidence this indictment came not long after Navarro said on TV he'd lead the charge to impeach Pres. Biden if the GOP takes over Congress in the midterms. This committee continues to be a political witch hunt. Congress shouldn't have law enforcement powers, and the committee's subpoena power is invalid because it has no ranking member and just two GOP lawmakers among its nine-person panel.

Nerd narrative

There is a 30% chance that Donald Trump will be elected president of the United States in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-establishment narrative

South Koreans have overwhelmingly expressed their approval of Pres. Yoon, an important message that will bolster his position as the national leader. These latest election results not only legitimize his political agenda, but will also allow him to coordinate efforts with local governments.

Establishment-critical narrative

While this may be a minor win for the Yoon admin, popular support is unlikely to last long as the turnout - the lowest since 2002 - highlights South Korean's political weariness. Furthermore, the Democratic Party's majority in Parliament still allows them prevent policies from being implemented.