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Controversies
Will AI Surpass Human Intelligence, and When?
Controversy
Status:
Open
Will AI Surpass Human Intelligence, and When?
+3
Discuss on
LeCun
Marcus
Bengio
Hinton
Hassabis
Altman
Amodei
Musk
NOT SOON
SOON
Claims
Last Updated 2 months ago
Elon Musk
"I'd be surprised if we don't have AGI by [2029]."
May 30, 2022
X
Sam Altman
"[W]e could get to real AGI in the next decade."
Dec 03, 2022
X
Demis Hassabis
We may achieve "something like AGI or AGI-like in the next decade."
Jul 11, 2023
Verge
Gary Marcus
"[W]e will eventually reach AGI... and quite possibly before the end of this century."
Jan 22, 2023
Substack
Geoffrey Hinton
Current AI like GPT-4 "eclipses a person" in general knowledge and could soon do so in reasoning as well.
May 02, 2023
BBC News
Elon Musk
AI will likely be "vastly smarter than humans" in "less than five years."
Jul 25, 2020
New York Times
Geoffrey Hinton
"[AI] will eventually surpass the abilities of the human brain."
Dec 05, 2016
University of Toronto
Geoffrey Hinton
AI is "very close to it now" and will be "much more intelligent than us in the future."
May 02, 2023
MIT Technology Review
Elon Musk
"We will have, for the first time, something that is smarter than the smartest human."
Nov 03, 2023
Finance
Geoffrey Hinton
"Digital intelligence" could overtake us within "5 to 20 years."
May 03, 2023
X
Yann LeCun
Society is more likely to get "cat-level" or "dog-level" AI years before human-level AI.
Dec 03, 2023
CNBC
Dario Amodei
"Human-level" AI could occur in "two or three years."
Aug 08, 2023
Dwarkeshpatel
+2 More
Yoshua Bengio
"Superhuman AIs" will be achieved "between a few years and a couple of decades."
Jul 21, 2023
Economist
Melanie Mitchell
"We could build a human level intelligence in principle... [but] I think we're quite far away."
Aug 14, 2024
Youtu
Max Tegmark
"It's pretty inevitable that [AGI] is going to happen."
May 03, 2022
Discover Magazine
Elon Musk
"We will be far, far surpassed in every single way [by AI]."
Aug 30, 2019
CNBC
Sam Altman
AI could surpass the "expert skill level" in most fields within a decade.
May 23, 2023
CBS
Gary Marcus
"I don't [think] we are all that close to machines that are more intelligent than us."
Oct 10, 2023
Substack
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