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ISRO is quietly surpassing SpaceX on commercial launches — AST SpaceMobile chose India's LVM3 over Falcon 9, saving 15% on a 6,100 kg payload. ISRO runs on $1.5 billion annually versus NASA's $27 billion, yet still landed near the lunar south pole and reached Mars orbit on the first try. That kind of budget discipline isn't a limitation — it's a competitive advantage that's already winning real contracts.
India's launch costs hit four times SpaceX's. Without reusable rockets, that gap isn't closing anytime soon. SpaceX flew 165 missions in 2025 alone while ISRO averages three or four a year, and volume is exactly what drives costs down. Ambitions to earn $3.5 billion annually from foreign satellites by 2033 look shaky when no Indian rocket, public or private, can match SpaceX on price.