SpaceX looks like a post-IPO implosion waiting to happen. The fundamentals are difficult to reconcile with its valuation, and persistent losses make it resemble a story stock more than a durable business. Morningstar pegs fair value at $63, implying 59% downside, and data shows the largest IPOs typically attract huge drawdowns. The first earnings report could be damaging for holders.
SpaceX stock rebounded after its dip, and the selloff says more about broader tech jitters than any fundamental problem with the company. New compute deals show revenue accelerating and the balance sheet improving. Sharp selloffs followed by bounces are typically a setup for the stock to push higher.
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