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Al-Shabaab's own casualty math has never been worth trusting, and neither are the doom takes that treat every ambush as a sign of collapse. Grinding down militant strongholds inevitably takes losses, and quitting the campaign now would hand back towns that cost real blood and sacrifice to reach. Backing the Somali army with U.S. airstrikes and sustained military pressure is how the insurgency finally breaks.
Counting enemy dead while staying silent on the body bags hauled back to Mogadishu is propaganda. Pushing two military columns down bomb-rigged roads while fighting half the country at once was doomed before the first shot was fired. A government that can't secure its roads, hold credible elections or account for its own losses has no business calling this a successful offensive.
Two decades of U.S. bombing have left Somalia no closer to peace, raising the question of whether its instability serves Washington's interests. Rather than cutting off al-Shabaab's funding and arms supplies, the U.S. keeps dropping bombs. Meanwhile, Trump wants to shut America's doors to Somalis fleeing the violence his policies perpetuate. Somalia needs sovereignty and peace, not another generation of foreign warfare.