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Paraguay is right to repudiate Lula's careless framing of the War of the Triple Alliance as a one-sided Paraguayan invasion. That war remains the defining trauma of Paraguayan history, and reducing it to convenient political shorthand insults a nation's memory. Brazil should match Paraguay's dignity by finally returning war trophies, such as the El Cristiano cannon, as true strength lies in confronting the past honestly rather than clinging to spoils from a war fought over 150 years ago.
The government's response is too little, too late. Officials found their voice after a full week of public outrage and mounting pressure, a delay that speaks volumes about their priorities. Compare that to the swift, near-immediate condemnation when a Paraguayan senator made racist remarks against France's Kylian Mbappé: outrage on demand there, but silence for days on a matter touching the deepest wound in our national history. This is negligence at its worst.
Lula conveniently omitted Brazil's intervention in Uruguayan affairs, which preceded Lopez's response, from his defense-spending pitch. Though Paraguay's outrage is legitimate, the political reality is brutal: Brazil buys over one-third of Paraguay's exports and supplies a third of its foreign investment, making righteous indignation an expensive luxury. The war is still being fought over, and neither side's nationalist mythology gets the history fully right.
Lula was right on the substance. Paraguay invaded Brazil first in December 1864 unprovoked, as nothing Brazil did in Uruguay threatened Paraguay itself. Paraguayan troops then looted Mato Grosso, Uruguaiana, and Corrientes. Paraguay's "genocide" framing conveniently omits who struck first: only the aggressor owes reparations, not the invaded. Lula's only slip was claiming Paraguay also invaded Uruguay.
Trump's regional allies are working to sabotage Lula's reelection. Paraguay summoning Brazil's ambassador over Lula's war remarks, following Milei's insults, right after Paraguay approved a U.S. military base in its own territory, is no coincidence. This is a coordinated campaign to weaken Brazil, the last major regional check on Trump-aligned hard-right power. This is political interference disguised as diplomatic outrage.