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Russia’s talks with the Azawad Liberation Front look less like diplomacy than an attempt to salvage what Moscow has failed to achieve on the battlefield. The Africa Corps came to Mali promising security and control, yet insurgents continue to gain ground. Meanwhile, Ukraine is taking the fight to Russia in the Sahel, helping Azawad fighters with drone expertise. After promising to restore order, Moscow is now courting the very forces it failed to defeat.
Talking to the Azawad Liberation Front is pragmatism. Russia is seeking a political opening where years of Western intervention failed to bring lasting peace, while backing Mali against jihadists. Ukraine, meanwhile, is extending its role as a proxy for Western imperialism into the Sahel, helping armed groups with drone expertise. Negotiating with Azawad offers a better path to stability than fueling yet another Western-backed proxy war.
As the West desperately tries to remain relevant in the Sahel, increasingly relying on armed groups and proxy warfare to preserve what influence it has left, Turkey is steadily expanding its regional role through military ties and diplomacy. Ankara can engage governments and their opponents alike, and the FLA's outreach shows how quickly the balance of power is shifting toward new players as the old Western order continues to lose ground across the region.