Lavrov Visits Niger as Russia Deepens AES Alliance

Is Russia's deepening alliance with the AES delivering security or entrenching instability?
Lavrov Visits Niger as Russia Deepens AES Alliance
Above: Sergei Lavrov and the foreign ministers of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger in Moscow on April 3, 2025. Image credit: Pavel Bednyakov/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin


Pro-Russia narrative

Russia has become the AES's key security partner, providing weapons, military advisers and air support that helped Malian forces defend Bamako's presidential palace in April. Moscow is expanding ties across defense, energy and mining through barter deals, military training and a diplomatic presence Western powers have never matched. The AES states are building greater sovereignty through a multipolar framework, and Russia's sustained commitment is delivering results.

Anti-Russia narrative

Russia's military partnership with the Sahel juntas has been a catastrophic failure — jihadist groups now threaten the capitals of Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger, while Africa Corps guards gold mines and regime assets instead of fighting insurgents. Russian tactics that worked in Chechnya don't scale to vast countries with underfunded militaries. The juntas traded Western and U.N. forces for Russian advisers, and the region is paying the price in blood.


Metaculus Prediction



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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.7.2

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.7.2