BMJ Retracts COVID Excess Deaths Study Over 'Misinformation'

Is this retraction justified by plagiarized data or is it a political move disguised as science?
BMJ Retracts COVID Excess Deaths Study Over 'Misinformation'
Above: A medical syringe with AstraZeneca visible in the background. Image credit: Jonathan Raa/NurPhoto/Getty Images

The Facts

  • BMJ Public Health on Tuesday retracted a 2024 study on excess mortality in Western countries following the COVID-19 pandemic, citing "misinformation on causes of death and limited original work conducted by the authors."
  • The study, led by Saskia Mostert of the Princess Maxima Center, analyzed data from 47 Western countries and found more than three million excess deaths between 2020 and 2022.
  • An expression of concern was posted in June 2024, shortly after publication, noting the research did not establish a causal link between COVID-19 containment measures, vaccination and excess deaths.

Sources Split


The Spin


Narrative A

The BMJ twisted excess mortality data to smear vaccines, misquoted studies on autoimmune risk, buried real-world evidence showing vaccines saved over a million lives in Europe and lifted data from other scientists without credit. Journals cannot let junk science with plagiarized numbers pose as legitimate research just because it gets picked up by anti-vaccine crowds. The retraction was two years late but absolutely warranted.

Narrative B

Nothing was wrong with the methodology, data or analysis in this paper, yet the BMJ yanked it anyway over a vague complaint about the discussion being unbalanced. That call came only after media coverage annoyed editors, not during peer review, proving this was a political retraction in the name of science. Bowing to outside pressure like this sets a dangerous precedent for research everywhere.


Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.17.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.17.1