UN: Gang Violence in Haiti Left At Least 3,141 Dead This Year

UN: Gang Violence in Haiti Left At Least 3,141 Dead This Year
Above: Funeral ceremony of a Haitian policeman in Port-au-Prince on July 7, 2025. Image copyright: Guerinault Louis/Anadolu/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The international community must act decisively to prevent Haiti's complete collapse into chaos. Gang violence has reached unprecedented levels with criminal groups now with near-total control over Port-au-Prince and expanding their reign of terror nationwide. Without immediate international intervention and proper resources, Haiti will collapse and become a failed state that threatens regional stability and forces desperate Haitians to flee their homeland.

Establishment-critical narrative

Foreign powers have repeatedly failed Haiti, never breaking the country's cycle of violence and instability. The U.S. has overthrown three Haitian governments since the Cold War, installing puppet regimes while dismantling state institutions and flooding the country with NGOs that benefit foreign interests rather than Haitians. Real solutions must come from the Haitian people themselves, not from another invasion disguised as humanitarian intervention.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO