UK to Purchase Nuclear-Capable F-35A Jets

UK to Purchase Nuclear-Capable F-35A Jets
Above: An F-35A Lightning II military jet air display at the Paris Air Show in Paris, France, on June 16, 2025. Image copyright: Nathan Laine/Bloomberg/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

This nuclear expansion represents a necessary response to Putin's escalating threats and growing global instability. Russia's military buildup and repeated nuclear saber-rattling demand that Britain diversify its deterrent beyond submarines alone. The F-35A purchase strengthens NATO's collective defense while creating thousands of British jobs.

Establishment-critical narrative

Reintroducing nuclear-capable aircraft marks a dangerous escalation that risks triggering a new arms race in Europe. This decision abandons decades of post-Cold War nuclear reduction efforts and increases the likelihood of nuclear weapons being deployed on British soil again. The move contradicts Britain's previous commitment to nuclear disarmament.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



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