Sudan: 3.2M Children Under 5 Face Acute Malnutrition in 2025

Sudan: 3.2M Children Under 5 Face Acute Malnutrition in 2025
Above: Sudanese families who have fled from the war in Sudan carry their belongings while arriving at a Transit Centre for refugees in Renk, on Feb. 14, 2024. Image copyright: LUIS TATO/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The humanitarian response in Sudan faces insurmountable challenges due to bureaucratic impediments and security concerns. Aid trucks remain stranded at the borders, waiting for permission, while food distributions are postponed due to denied travel permits. The upcoming rainy season will likely make roads impassable, severely hampering aid delivery and potentially leading to catastrophic consequences for millions of vulnerable children.

Narrative B

Despite operational challenges, humanitarian organizations continue to make progress in providing essential services. Safe water systems are being restored in states like Gedaref, malnourished children are receiving therapeutic foods in hard-to-reach areas, and over 200,000 displaced children have received school supplies and access to learning spaces — demonstrating that aid delivery is possible with proper support and access.

Metaculus Prediction


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