Silver's explosive rise past $60 reflects a genuine supply crisis that markets are only beginning to recognize. Mining capital expenditure has collapsed to decade lows while industrial demand from solar, EVs and semiconductors surges, creating a structural deficit of 820 million ounces since 2021. The silver-to-oil ratio hitting its second-highest level since World War II proves the physical shortage is far more severe than perceived.
Silver's recent surge is driven primarily by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut rather than by any fundamental supply crisis. London inventories have reversed their year-to-date tightening, with free-floating metal reaching 202 million ounces by the end of November. The price spike was amplified by technical factors, including holiday-season illiquidity and trading halts that dried up market depth.
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