Ethiopia: Tigray Rebels Seize Govt Offices in Key Towns

Ethiopia: Tigray Rebels Seize Govt Offices in Key Towns
Above: Getachew Reda and Debretsion Gebremichael at the African Union headquarters on Feb. 16, 2025. Image credit: Amanuel Sileshi/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Facts

  • A dissident faction of the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) led by Debretsion Gebremichel took over key government buildings in towns, including Mekele and Adigrat, the two main cities in Tigray, in an offensive last week.
  • On Wednesday, the interim administration of Tigray asked Ethiopia's federal government for support and the international community to monitor the situation closely amid concerns over a potential coup attempt and a return to civil war.
  • The TPLF split into two factions last August, with the one under Debretsion and the other under the interim regional government of Getachew Reda at odds ever since. Debretsion expelled Getachew and four cabinet members from the party, and the government suspended alleged Debretsion-aligned military commanders.

Sources Split


The Spin


Narrative A

These latest developments in Tigray further suggest that Ethiopia and Eritrea are on the brink of another conflict, especially against the backdrop of a nationwide military mobilization in Eritrea and the deployment of Ethiopian forces to the border. As their proxies fight in Tigray, it's just a matter of time before a war breaks out.

Narrative B

Despite the latest developments in the region, there's no reason to worry about a conflict in Tigray. Disagreements between Tigray's interim administration and the Debretsion faction are political, which means that only dialogue and negotiations, not military force, can lead to a lasting solution.


Metaculus Prediction

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.18.0