Markets Tumble as US Trade Policies Spark Recession Fears

Markets Tumble as US Trade Policies Spark Recession Fears
Image copyright: Spencer Platt/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The Trump administration's aggressive trade policies and government restructuring are necessary to bring manufacturing back to America and create long-term economic prosperity despite short-term market volatility and transition periods.

Establishment-critical narrative

The unpredictable implementation of tariffs and economic policies is creating unnecessary market uncertainty, potentially triggering a recession and undermining the strong economic foundation built over recent years.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


The Controversies



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