RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said that a less restrictive monetary policy was appropriate given current growth-inflation dynamics and that the Monetary Policy Committee maintains a neutral policy stance.
The rate cut follows the government's recent announcement of significant tax cuts, raising the income tax threshold from $8K to $14.8K to stimulate consumer spending and economic growth.
This comes after India's GDP growth dropped to 5.4% in July-September from previous rates of 6.7% and 7.8%. The government has forecast growth of 6.4% for fiscal year 2024-25.
Retail inflation eased to 5.22% in December, though still above the RBI's 4% target. The central bank forecasts inflation to average 4.8% in the current financial year and 4.2% in the next.
Meanwhile, the Indian rupee strengthened modestly following the announcement, with the RBI actively intervening in foreign exchange markets to prevent sudden capital outflows and currency depreciation.
The rate cut is necessary to revive economic growth and boost urban consumption. It complements recent tax measures and supports credit flow to businesses — particularly as high-frequency indicators suggest economic resilience despite global challenges.
The decision to cut rates amid persistent inflation above target levels and currency pressures could risk further price increases and capital outflows, potentially complicating the central bank's efforts to maintain financial stability.