IMF Raises Global Growth Forecast, Cuts US Outlook for 2025

11 HOURS AGO·UPDATED 8 HOURS AGO

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Above: A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on April 8, 2025. Image copyright: Angela Weiss/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The global economy is proving remarkably resilient despite trade policy upheaval, with growth projections rising and fears of economic collapse proving overblown. Markets have adapted to new realities, with AI investment driving unprecedented expansion and financial conditions remaining supportive. Trump's strategic tariff policies are working exactly as intended, forcing better trade deals while American businesses demonstrate their adaptability.

The National The Washington Post

Narrative B

Economic resilience masks dangerous underlying fragilities that threaten catastrophic collapse when reality hits inflated markets. Record gold prices and stock valuations approaching dotcom bubble levels signal massive investor anxiety beneath the surface calm. The full devastating impact of trade wars hasn't materialized yet, but mounting fiscal deficits and global instability guarantee severe economic reckoning ahead.

Guardian Financial Times