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Hamas Says It Will Release Israeli-American in Exchange for Cease-fire's Second Phase

  • #Israel
  • #Kidnapping & hostages
  • #Palestine
  • #Political prisoners
Hamas Says It Will Release Israeli-American in Exchange for Cease-fire's Second Phase
story
MAR 14
Above: Palestinian children get their family's share of an iftar fast-breaking meal at a free food distribution point in the Nuseirat refugee camp in the central Gaza Strip, during the Muslim holy fasting month of Ramadan on March 14, 2025. Image copyright: Eyad Baba/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images
story last updated MAR 14

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Both sides need to make concessions so that the cease-fire can continue. Nonetheless, halting aid entering Gaza and cutting electricity risks escalating the situation and exacerbating the already dire humanitarian situation in the strip. For the hostages to be released, Netanyahu should stop playing politics.

CNN

Pro-Israel narrative

Hamas is trying to manipulate the negotiation process to sabotage them. By submitting a proposal that would include the release of American hostages only, Hamas seeks to psychologically terrorize Israeli society. Hamas' position has not changed, and resuming the war may become inevitable if it continues to refuse US overtures.

Jerusalem Post

Pro-Palestine narrative

Though the Western media is blaming Hamas for Israel's blatant violations of the cease-fire, the reality is Netanyahu was never interested in ending the war or freeing the hostages. Hamas has followed the cease-fire, largely ignoring Israeli violations such as killing civilians, yet the US is backing Israel's attempts to again starve Gaza and commit even more war crimes in the delusional belief that this will save the hostages.

XX

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures

Donald Trump

Benjamin Netanyahu


The Controversies


Status:Open
Who Will Control the Gaza Strip After the Israel-Gaza War?
Controversy
+18
MAR 14MAR 14

Status:Open
When Will the Gaza War End?
Controversy
+9
MAR 14MAR 14

UNLIKELYLIKELY
Status:Open
Will The US Take Over Gaza?
Controversy
MAR 14MAR 14

Go Deeper

The Israel-Palestine Conflict
Context
+10
JUN 27JUN 27

Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

US, Israel want to displace Palestinians from Gaza to East Africa: Report
Al JazeeraMAR 14
Sudan rejects US request to discuss taking in Palestinians under Trumps Gaza plan
GuardianMAR 14
Israel-Hamas ceasefire live updates: 3 hostages set free in exchange for hundreds of Palestinians
NBCFEB 14
Us Israel Look Africa Resettling Palestinians Uprooted Gaza Ap Reports 2025 03 14
ReutersMAR 14