Fed Proposes Major Bank Capital Rule Cuts Despite Split Vote

Fed Proposes Major Bank Capital Rule Cuts Despite Split Vote
Above: The Federal Reserve System logo displayed on a smartphone on June 25, 2025. Image copyright: Algi Febri Sugita/SOPA Images/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Rigid capital rules have become counterproductive shackles, preventing banks from fulfilling their essential role during crises. Easing these requirements will restore lending capacity, strengthen Treasury market resilience, and eliminate bureaucratic barriers that handicap financial institutions when America's economy needs them most. Smart regulation adapts — it doesn't strangle.

Establishment-critical narrative

Banks will exploit deregulation for shareholder enrichment, not economic benefit — channeling freed capital into dividends and bonuses rather than Treasury market support. With systemic risks mounting and Americans struggling financially, weakening the very safeguards that prevented another 2008 catastrophe represents dangerous regulatory amnesia that invites future devastation.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!