Ex-National Guard Member Arrested in Alleged IS Plot Against Army Base

Ex-National Guard Member Arrested in Alleged IS Plot Against Army Base
Above: A seal reading "Department of Justice Federal Bureau of Investigation" is displayed on the J. Edgar Hoover FBI building in Washington, DC, on Aug. 9, 2022. Image copyright: Stefani Reynolds/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The thwarted attack represents a serious threat to national security and military personnel. The suspect's military background and methodical planning, including surveillance and weapons preparation, demonstrate the evolving sophistication of domestic terrorism threats. Swift action by law enforcement prevented what could have been a devastating attack on a critical military facility.

Establishment-critical narrative

The case raises questions about surveillance methods and the role of undercover operations in terrorism investigations. The extensive use of undercover agents over several months, including their active participation in attack planning, could be seen as potentially crossing the line between legitimate law enforcement and entrapment. The FBI has a history of headline-grabbing yet far-fetched counter-terror stings.

Metaculus Prediction


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