Carney's Liberals Survive Budget Confidence Votes 307-30

Carney's Liberals Survive Budget Confidence Votes 307-30
Above: Mark Carney participates in a featured conversation on Budget 2025 with the Canadian Club Toronto on Nov. 7, 2025. Image copyright: Mert Alper Dervis/Anadolu/Getty Images

The Spin

Government-critical narrative

Carney's budget is a complete disaster that doubles down on the same failed policies that created record inflation and drove investment away. Credit agencies are warning that his permanent deficits put Canada's credit rating at risk while doing nothing to help average families cope with rising costs.

Pro-government narrative

Budget 2025 signifies a transformative strategy to build economic resilience through generational investments in health infrastructure, including hospitals and medical schools. Conservative opposition is crumbling as MPs cross the floor and resign, exposing serious leadership problems.

Cynical narrative

In Ottawa's quiet chamber, Carney's budget passes on borrowed votes, cutting woke programs while promising billions for youth, defense and infrastructure. But Trump's tariffs drain growth, housing consumes capital and cautious firms hesitate — revealing deep stagnation, overreliance on a single partner and an inflated real estate sector.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.17.2

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.2