Caribbean Braces for Hurricane Melissa as It Strengthens to Category 5

Caribbean Braces for Hurricane Melissa as It Strengthens to Category 5
Above: Hurricane Melissa over the Caribbean Sea, pictured on Oct. 26, 2025. Image credit: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Getty Images

The Facts

  • Inhabitants of Jamaica and elsewhere in the Caribbean are bracing for Hurricane Melissa after it was upgraded to a Category 5 hurricane by the U.S.-based National Hurricane Center (NHC) on Monday.
  • The latest update from the NHC on Monday said, "Melissa is expected to move near or over Jamaica tonight and Tuesday, across southeastern Cuba Tuesday night, and across the southeastern Bahamas on Wednesday."
  • It added that the hurricane has reached sustained speeds of 160 mph (257 kph), but warned that speeds could be 30% higher at windward-facing sides of hills and mountains.

Sources Split


The Spin


Narrative A

The government of Jamaica has done all it can to make sure it is prepared for this hurricane with sound preparedness measures. However, inhabitants of the island need to take these warnings seriously and ensure they're evacuated to shelters or other safe places.

Narrative B

Most residents would rather stay put than go to government-run shelters. In previous storms, these shelters had issues regarding assault, and many people woke up to find that their belongings had been stolen from them. Jamaica's preparedness is hindered by these systemic issues, which can be found throughout the region.


Metaculus Prediction

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.17.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.17.1