Ukrainian Commander: Frontline Situation Has Worsened

Ukrainian Commander: Frontline Situation Has Worsened
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The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Because of Russia's current superiority in manpower and weapons, it's maximizing its efforts and is currently making some minor tactical gains. However, Moscow has not achieved an operational advantage and Ukraine maintains to hold the line, sending in reinforcements where there have been losses. Ukraine is also working hard to get weapons shipped as soon as possible.

Pro-Russia narrative

The fate of Ukrainian Pres. Volodymyr Zelenskyy is sealed. In the context of him seeking to continue this war, rather than negotiate for peace, he will have to explain these losses to his people — at which point he'll lose all legitimacy. From the Kremlin's perspective, the most prudent approach is to continue seeking to meet the aims of the Special Military Operation.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

More neutral establishment stance articles

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