Ukraine Again Launches Missile Attack on Crimea, Its Biggest of the War

Ukraine Again Launches Missile Attack on Crimea, Its Biggest of the War
Image copyright: South Korean Defense Ministry/Handout/Getty Images News via Getty images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

This was precisely the aim of the US when it provided Ukraine with ATACMS missiles. Crimea, alongside other parts of eastern Ukraine illegally occupied by Russia, has been comfortably used by Russian forces as a launching pad for further attacks on Ukraine. The delivery of these weapons allows Ukraine to disrupt these logistical nodes and troop concentrations.

Pro-Russia narrative

Ukraine has already used more limited weapons to launch a series of terror attacks on Russian territory. Now that the US has provided Kyiv with long-range ATACMS, Russia can only expect these terror attacks to continue and escalate. Now, more Russian cities are in danger and Crimea is in striking range. Russia will have no choice but to respond to this escalation.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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