Trump Achieves Overwhelming Victory in Nevada Caucus

Trump Achieves Overwhelming Victory in Nevada Caucus
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The Spin

Pro-Trump narrative

Donald Trump cruised to an expected landslide in the Nevada Caucus, a race that Nikki Haley was too scared to compete in. Trump's overwhelming support among Republican voters is palpable even when he's not listed on the ballot as Nikki Haley lost to literally nobody. The GOP primary season is effectively over, and everyone is eager to see President Trump take on Joe Biden and return to the White House.

Conservative narrative

No matter the outcome of these primaries, Nikki Haley is strengthening the GOP. She is standing for true conservative values and exudes a youthful competence that's adding needed dialogue in the Republican Party. With Trump's other opposition in the GOP field gone, Haley now stands as an important voice in the party's future.

Democratic narrative

All things considered, it makes no difference whatsoever how Donald Trump wins the Nevada GOP caucus. Nevada will never go to Trump in a presidential election. Trump has already lost Nevada twice, in 2016 and 2020, and in November, he will be a three-time loser in that state.

Metaculus Prediction


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