Sunak and Starmer Kick Off Campaigns Ahead of July 4 Election

Sunak and Starmer Kick Off Campaigns Ahead of July 4 Election
Image copyright: Samir Hussein/Contributor/WireImage via Getty Images

The Spin

Left narrative

Every shred of evidence over the last few years points to a crushing defeat for Rishi Sunak and the Conservatives. Sunak’s last Hail Mary is calling for a snap election far sooner than expected, but it would take a miracle to close a 20-point polling gap that has persisted for months. The Tories have held power since 2010, and the UK has deteriorated in every way under their stewardship. July 4 will officially end 14 years of failed policy.

Right narrative

While many dominos still need to fall for a Tory upset, Rishi Sunak’s gamble seems to be paying off. By calling a quick election, Sunak has prevented Nigel Farage from standing for the Reform Party, which has significantly eaten into Conservative support. The Tories can now focus on trying to bring all conservative and moderate Brits back into their coalition and show them how recent indicators reveal that the UK is on the upswing.

Metaculus Prediction


Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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