SCOTUS Hears Arguments Over Trump's Immunity Claim

SCOTUS Hears Arguments Over Trump's Immunity Claim
Image copyright: Andrew Harnik/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Anti-Trump narrative

The conservative justices seemed to be stretching to find ways they could grant Trump some immunity or reasons to bump this case back to the lower court. Either choice would be a victory for the former president because — as in all his criminal cases — Trump's goal is to delay all trials until he might be elected or inaugurated as president and can quash them all.

Pro-Trump narrative

This isn't about delaying this case, it's about making sure a president has the necessary freedom to act without fear of prosecution. It's easy for any prosecutor to obtain an indictment, and the US system can't rely on all prosecutors acting in good faith. There may need to be a test to determine which acts by a president are personal or official — which is one thing that might be better settled by a lower court.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

More neutral establishment stance articles

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