Report: US Remains Unconvinced on Ukraine's Possible Use of Long-Range Weapons in Russia

Report: US Remains Unconvinced on Ukraine's Possible Use of Long-Range Weapons in Russia
Above: US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin (L) and Ukrainian Pres. Volodymyr Zelenskyy at a meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group at NATO headquarters in Brussels on October 11, 2023. Image copyright: Olivier Matthys/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Because of current restrictions on long-range weapons, Russia simply moves its weapons out of range, hampering Ukraine's ability to put any pressure on its military. Ukraine has waited too long to receive these permissions.

Pro-Russia narrative

Should NATO countries lift restrictions and allow their long-range weapons to strike Russia, Moscow will have no choice but to see this as NATO's direct involvement in the war and respond accordingly. This would be a fundamental escalation of the conflict — the West needs to tread carefully.

Metaculus Prediction



Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

More neutral establishment stance articles

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!