Report: Ukraine to be Told it Must Address Corruption Before NATO Membership Can Proceed

Image copyright: via NATO

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

If the US doesn't provide a firm commitment to Ukraine on NATO membership, it signals to Putin that he is able to influence American foreign policy by launching an illegal invasion. The US must stick to its guns and realize that having Ukraine in NATO is the best way to protect American interests in the region.

Establishment-critical narrative

Bringing Ukraine into NATO would not only end up unleashing further devastation to Ukraine, but this would likely make the whole military alliance weaker as well. Such a step would only play into Putin's hands by justifying his claim that he's fighting against expansionist NATO policies.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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