Report: Trump Assassin Left Online Message Before Shooting

Report: Trump Assassin Left Online Message Before Shooting
Above: A demonstrator holds a sign of Thomas Matthew Crooks outside of a security zone checkpoint by the Fiserv Forum on July 17, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Image copyright: Jim Vondruska/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

Crooks is hard to characterize and has a minimal online footprint. His political beliefs are unclear, and there's still no definitive motive for the shooting. We may never know why he tried to assassinate the former president. There's probably no logical reason behind this illogical act.

Narrative B

The motive behind Trump's attempted assassination is very likely the exact motive behind most of the recent mass shootings and similar violent events. This is probably just another case of someone with mental health issues and personal grievances, unfortunately, having easy access to a sea of firearms drowning the United States.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


The Controversies



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