Report: Israel Could Share Power with Arab States in Post-war Gaza

Report: Israel Could Share Power with Arab States in Post-war Gaza
Image copyright: Amir Levy/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Though the Israeli right and the Arab states will likely dismiss this proposal, it indicates that Israel's leadership has been considering its strategy for Gaza's post-war governance. Though the right wants to crush Gaza, and the Arab states wish for a clear framework for the establishment of a Palestinian state, it's still possible for cooler heads to prevail. The biggest issue as of now, however, is that Hamas hasn't been defeated, and Netanyahu needs to think fast to extricate himself and Israel from this situation.

Pro-Israel narrative

Hamas' Oct. 7 attack on Israel was the final nail in the coffin for the establishment of a Palestinian state. Since Israel withdrew from Gaza in 2005, the enclave has essentially existed as a terrorist-run proto-state led by Hamas. Given the Palestinian Authority's inefficacy, Israel has no partners for peace, and the last 20 years in Gaza prove this. A violent, terrorist-run Palestinian state would be an existential threat to Israel's security.

Pro-Palestine narrative

US Pres. Joe Biden must realize what Israel and Netanyahu plan to do with Gaza after the war — change the "facts on the ground" so that Palestinians can't return and Gaza's beachfront real estate be transformed into luxurious Israeli settlements. At best, Biden is blind to what Israel's true desires are and, at worst, fully complicit in Gaza's ethnic cleansing. Israeli officials continue to openly say what they want to do with Gaza and the Palestinian people, yet all the US can do is express concern.

Metaculus Prediction


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