Malibu Wildfire Forces Mass Evacuations

Malibu Wildfire Forces Mass Evacuations
Above: A firefighter pulls a water hose as the Franklin Fire burns palm trees on Dec. 10, 2024, in Malibu, California. Image copyright: Mario Tama/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

This is the fault of climate change. Carbon emissions are leading to hotter and drier climates, leading to larger fires that release more carbon into the atmosphere. Not only are millions of acres of coastal land burning, but toxic smoke is being emitted. Americans don't even have to read climate literature to see and smell the effects of climate change.

Narrative B

Climate change's role in wildfires is exaggerated, often at the expense of other crucial factors — including human-caused ignitions and poor forest management. Leading academic journals — like Nature and Science — favor politicized discourse over truth, leading to false narratives about climate impacts and hindering the development of practical solutions.

Metaculus Prediction


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!