Hamas Gives 'Positive Response' to Hostage Deal

Hamas Gives 'Positive Response' to Hostage Deal
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The Spin

Pro-Palestine narrative

Israel is losing its war in Gaza. After over three months and dozens of thousands of dead Palestinians, Israel has failed to release hostages, to kill Hamas' top leaders, or to create conditions advantageous to ending this long drawn-out conflict. Even if Israel did manage to achieve the majority of its goals, it still would be left without a clear plan of action for what happens after the war. Destroying a group like Hamas is a fool's errand, and Netanyahu has dug Israel into a hole that it will have a tough time climbing out of. Israel should accept a comprehensive cease-fire.

Pro-Israel narrative

Though this war has been difficult and has caused suffering, it had been justified by Israel's steady progress in Gaza, first in neutralizing Gaza City before moving on to other population centers like Khan Younis. Israel has substantially degraded Hamas' military capabilities and leadership, and even partially degraded elite Hezbollah units stationed along Israel's northern border. Indeed, as Israel's enemies should recognize, Israel's raw military power should not be up for debate — the country will continue to fight and negotiate as it sees fit to achieve its goals.

Metaculus Prediction


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