Haiti's Transition Council Picks New Prime Minister

Haiti's Transition Council Picks New Prime Minister
Image copyright: Mark Wilson/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

The world community must support democracy, let Haiti chart its own path, and allow the council to govern. When the outside world, particularly the US, intervenes, Haiti has a history of being ruled by corrupt individuals. Hopefully, an independent and strong Haiti can emerge from this turmoil.

Pro-establishment narrative

Haiti needs US support on the ground because the government is outmanned and outgunned by violent criminal gangs, making a Haiti-led recovery a pipe dream. Famine, death, and a refugee crisis are looming if the hemisphere's superpower doesn't restore order and back the transitional government, buying time for UN security forces.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO