Gallup: 2024 Election Environment Favors Republicans

Gallup: 2024 Election Environment Favors Republicans
Above: Republican presidential nominee, former US President Donald Trump, departs a campaign rally at the Ed Fry Arena on Sept. 23, 2024, in Indiana, Pennsylvania.  Image copyright: Win McNamee/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Republican narrative

This poll confirms that Americans don't want four more years of the disastrous Biden-Harris agenda and that the presidential election is Trump's to lose. Republicans haven't had such an advantage in decades, and not even the liberal media can ignore that.

Democratic narrative

Even if Gallup figures are correct, that's quite a logical jump to claim that these numbers indicate that the election environment favors Republicans. Several other polls put Harris ahead of Trump, and — perhaps most importantly — the average voter also expects her to win.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Go Deeper


Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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