First Case of New Mpox Strain Confirmed Outside Africa

Above: World Health Organization HQ main building, Geneva. Image copyright: Thorkild Tylleskar via Wikimedia Commons

The Spin

Narrative A

Considering the severity and extent of the mpox outbreak in Africa, it is no surprise that a Swedish national who recently traveled there has tested positive. This is likely indicative of dozens of undetected European cases. Global health experts must respond to this crisis to avoid an accelerated global spread of the mpox virus.

Narrative B

While this is a concerning development, the infected person has received care and was treated in accordance with the health agency's recommendations. There's no risk to the general public, and high-quality health care in Europe and elsewhere will greatly mitigate the spread in the developed world.

Metaculus Prediction


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