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FBI: Violent US Crime Dropped Sharply in Early 2024

  • #Crime
  • #United States of America
FBI: Violent US Crime Dropped Sharply in Early 2024
story
JUN 2024
Above: FBI, ATF and local police investigate an explosion at a FedEx facility in Schertz, Texas. Image copyright: Scott Olson/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images
story last updated JUN 2024

The Spin

Republican narrative

These numbers only tell part of the story about crime in America, as they are based on voluntary reporting from police departments. The main issue in this country remains dismal arrest and prosecution records from progressive district attorney's offices, which leads to emboldened criminals and gamified statistics.

Newsweek

Democratic narrative

The perception of the GOP being "tough on crime" doesn't match the reality, as this steep drop reverses the spikes that occurred under the Trump administration. Trump's attacks on law enforcement agencies and his personal attempts to flout the law are a testament to his lack of care regarding law and order.

The Hill

Cynical narrative

There's a technical issue that must be accounted for when reporting US crime statistics. The FBI's transition to a new crime reporting system for local jurisdictions has led to major data gaps — including in New York City and Los Angeles. Accordingly, it's actually unclear if crime nationwide has gone up, gone down, or stayed relatively the same. This data gap must be rectified in order to give the public the information it deserves — and to defend against bad faith political arguments on both sides.

The Marshall Project

Metaculus Prediction


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