Uganda Landslides: At Least 15 People Dead, Over 100 Missing

Uganda Landslides: At Least 15 People Dead, Over 100 Missing
Above: People look on as an excavator helps search for people trapped under debris after a landfill collapsed in Kampala, Uganda, on Aug. 10, 2024. Image copyright: BADRU KATUMBA/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

Uganda is prone to the cascading effects of landslides because it's primarily a rural and mountainous region battered by poverty. Large swathes on the slopes of its mountains have been separated from their forests and other vegetation cover for the expansion of agriculture, increasing the risk of landslides.

Narrative B

Though this disaster occurred due to heavy rains, it will reoccur if Uganda doesn't adapt to its root cause — global warming and climate change, which make hefty rainfall more likely. The country needs urgent funding to respond to natural disasters and build its capabilities to avoid another catastrophe.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



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