The Spin
Narrative A
Despite the niceties and pomp surrounding the state visit, an enormous trade war is brewing behind the scenes. We can expect Macron to be tough on Xi — tightening the screws on him for China's support to Russia, as well as its damaging trade practices that are hurting the EU economy.
Narrative B
While there are major disagreements between France and China, if anyone is expecting frosty exchanges or a political bust-up, they are mistaken. China is a master of carefully crafted diplomacy and will seek to use this to serve its interests. Meanwhile, Macron can be expected to lay on the charm offensive for the world's second-biggest economy.
Metaculus Prediction
Public Figures
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.2.2
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 7.2.2