Biden Allows Limited Ukrainian Strikes on Russian Territory

Biden Allows Limited Ukrainian Strikes on Russian Territory
Above: President Joe Biden attends commencement exercises for the class of 2024 at West Point on May 25, 2024 in West Point, New York. Image copyright: Spencer Platt/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

This decision, which applies only in the areas near Kharkiv, only enables Ukraine to strike Russian troops as they attack or prepare to attack and will help Ukraine better defend itself. There's no change in the broader policy of not permitting strikes on non-military sites as well as targets deep inside Russia.

Pro-Russia narrative

This is a dangerous escalation of the conflict. Russia has no choice but to eliminate these long-range weapons, in addition to the NATO personnel required to operate them, which will inevitably lead to NATO countries invoking Article 5 on collective defense. A global war is all but inevitable after this reckless move on the part of the US.

Metaculus Prediction



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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