Australia's GDP Growth Hits 30-Year Low Amid Public Spending

Australia's GDP Growth Hits 30-Year Low Amid Public Spending
Above: Pedestrians on Market Street in Sydney, Australia. Image copyright: Lisa Maree Williams/Contributor/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Spin

Left narrative

Despite recent slow growth, Australia should maintain a positive outlook on its economic future, especially regarding the rise in disposable incomes due to wage growth and tax cuts. Public investment in infrastructure and high business investment in machinery and software also echo the mining boom years, paving the way for future productivity gains, while falling inflation signals a welcome relief from high interest rates.

Right narrative

Pro-government analysts can tweak the data any way they like, but the reality for regular Australians is that the standard of living has declined for seven straight quarters with no signs of relief ahead. This is due to the federal government and the states outcompeting the private sector for scarce labor and resources at the expense of taxpayers. When you add high interest rates and taxes into the mix, Australia is headed toward recession.

Metaculus Prediction


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