UK: China's Military Buildup Risks ‘Tragic Miscalculation'

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The Spin

Pro-China narrative

While Cleverly's speech was rife with Cold War logic, it at least reflected some correction of the UK's previous aggressive stance toward China. The words might signal that London seeks a more balanced approach independent of Washington's geopolitical China strategy, and Beijing welcomes London's more pragmatic tone. However, it remains to be seen to what extent this will translate into the UK's China policy, and whether London will adhere to the one-China principle.

Anti-China narrative

Cleverly's warning against China's increasingly aggressive stance — that was made simultaneously with his calls for constructive engagement — reveals that London is increasingly willing to sacrifice its values and betray the free world. Beijing's imperial policy not only threatens Taiwan — there are clear indications that the CCP is preparing for war with the US. The British government's contradictory approach toward China will not pay off, and it must return to a clear and assertive position before it's too late.

Metaculus Prediction


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