Russia, Myanmar Begin First Maritime Military Exercises

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Russia's close relationship with the brutal Myanmar junta has been growing for years now, and its threat to Southeast Asia has grown along with it. While the West must always be prepared to combat confrontational moves by Russia and China, it should also work to build diplomatic relations with the surrounding nations — many of whom share similar concerns about the rise of Moscow and Beijing in their region.

Establishment-critical narrative

Russia is simply working with members of the Asia-Pacific region whom the US, Australia, and Japan have left out to dry. Some member states of ASEAN, including Myanmar, have now been negatively impacted by the West's hegemonic pursuits in the region. Russia, however, believes in mutually beneficial cooperation between all states, which is why the US and its friends are stoking confrontation with those who don't bow to their demands.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

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