Russia Amasses 40K Troops in Preparation for Donetsk Assault

Russia Amasses 40K Troops in Preparation for Donetsk Assault
Image credit: Vlada Liberova/Libkos via Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • After deploying thousands of men, alongside tanks and armored vehicles, into a fresh Russian assault in the eastern region of Donetsk last month, Russia has reportedly amassed 40K troops around the city of Avdiivka in preparation for a renewed push to take the city, Ukrainian military officials said on Thursday.
  • Anton Kotsukon, a spokesman for Ukraine's 110th separate mechanized brigade, said: "They are building up reserves. They've brought in about 40K men here along with ammunition of all calibres. We see no sign of the Russians abandoning plans to encircle Avdiivka."
  • According to analysis from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), a US-affiliated military think tank that tracks battlefield progress in the war, Russia has made gains in positions near Avdiivka in recent days and has surrounded the city from three sides. It cited reports from a Russian military blogger that claimed Russian forces now hold positions within 500 meters (1,640 feet) of Avdiivka itself.

Sources Split


The Spin


Pro-Ukraine narrative

Russia has pounded Avdiivka for a month, but all they have achieved is the losses of thousands of men and equipment. Ukraine's defense forces continue to hold the line and will fight every meter of territory.

Pro-Russia narrative

Ukraine's counteroffensive has ground to a halt and now Russia is launching renewed offfensive operations. Meanwhile, Western support for Ukraine is drying up. Ukrainian Pres. Volodymyr Zelenskyy needs to see the writing on the wall and realize that he cannot defeat Russia militarily.


Metaculus Prediction

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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.18.3