Pentagon: Ukraine's Counteroffensive Has Made 'Notable Progress'

    Pentagon: Ukraine's Counteroffensive Has Made 'Notable Progress'
    Image credit: US Defense Dept. [via Wikimedia Commons]

    The Facts

    • Ukraine's counteroffensive in the southern Zaporizhzhia region has made "notable progress" in the last three days, a top US security official said on Friday.
    • John Kirby, spokesman of the White House's National Security Council, said that the US had "noted over the last 72 hours or so some notable progress by Ukrainian armed forces ... in that southern line of advance coming out of the Zaporizhzhia area."
    • After reports suggested that Ukraine had broken through the first line of Russian defenses in some areas last week, Kirby added: "They have achieved some success against that second line of Russian defenses."

    Sources Split


    The Spin


    Pro-establishment narrative

    Although Ukrainian progress has been slow, they are finally making important gains and are going in the right direction. War doesn't operate in a linear fashion — defenders may be able to hold for a long time, but when the levee breaks, attackers can make swift progress. There's no reason to believe that Ukraine can't do the same.

    Establishment-critical narrative

    While Ukraine is making incremental gains, it's quite clear that it won't succeed in pushing Russia out of all of the four territories it's claimed to have annexed, let alone Crimea, which was taken in 2014. Now is the time to formulate an achievable endgame to the war — one that also takes into consideration Russia's point of view — to avoid the conflict from erupting once again.


    Metaculus Prediction

    © 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.17.1

    © 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

    All rights reserved.

    Version 7.17.1