Pakistan: President Denies Signing Pro-Military Laws

Image copyright: Abuzar Xheikh [via Unsplash]

The Spin

Narrative A

Pakistan's state machinery continues to violate the Constitution in collusion with Parliament and the electoral authority. After backing unconstitutional caretaker governments in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Punjab, it has now taken the outrageous decision to sideline the symbol of the federation and supreme commander, undermining his will not to sign bills he disagrees with.

Narrative B

Despite his best efforts, Alvi's principal secretary called the president's bluff, claiming evidence to prove his innocence and requesting an inquiry to investigate the facts of the case and fix the responsibility. Given that responding to a bluff with another bluff is an unwise move for someone risking removal from service, it's unlikely that Ahmed is lying.

Narrative C

As the political turmoil in Pakistan reaches new low after another, the security situation in the country is increasingly perilous. With Islamic State Khorasan Province — active in both Pakistan and Afghanistan — expanding its influence, India must closely follow this threat and prepare a contingency strategy to counter threats emanating from its longtime rival.

Metaculus Prediction


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