Hong Kong 'Patriots Only' Election Sees Record Low Turnout

Image copyright: Wikimedia Commons

The Spin

Anti-China narrative

Voter turnout was low for two similar reasons: no one believed their vote would actually count, and if they did step outside to the polls, they risked getting arrested for being a dissident. Ever since young activists spurred record turnout in 2019, Beijing has ensured that, no matter how obviously fraudulent it looked to the rest of the world, Hong Kong would never again conduct a free and fair election. This has not only kept voters on the island from heading to the polls but some opposition leaders from wanting to return home from abroad.

Pro-China narrative

Beijing tightened candidacy criteria to prevent politicians in cahoots with Western nations from sneaking into office to undermine China and its territories. Beijing also isn't lying about the historically low voter turnout but rather knows that it will take time for the population to understand the importance of excluding traitorous candidates from gaining power. Western-funded outlets like the BBC and VOA are only focusing on Hong Kong's low turnout because they know their own countries' elections are just as "corrupt" as they accuse Beijing of being.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!