Day 384: Russia Says Grain Deal Extension Agreed; Doesn't Recognize International Criminal Court

Day 384: Russia Says Grain Deal Extension Agreed; Doesn't Recognize International Criminal Court
Image copyright: Wikimedia Commons

The Spin


Pro-Russia narrative

Russia has agreed to a 60-day extension to the grain deal in the hope that sanctions and barriers to the export of Russian grain and fertilizer is eased within this time. If it's not, Russia will have to withdraw from the agreement.


Pro-establishment narrative

Despite Russia's claims on food and fertilizer exports, the allegation that the US or Western countries have blocked these is simply not true. In fact, the data shows Russia's food and fertilizer exports have returned to pre-war levels.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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