China Reveals Plan to Boost Private Investment

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The Spin

Pro-China narrative

Beijing has recognized the importance of private businesses in order for China to boost its economic recovery after two years of slow growth and COVID lockdowns. Private enterprises generate half of all tax revenue and over 60% of GDP. This is a strong message from the Commission.

Anti-China narrative

The world's second-largest economy has suffered from a confidence problem after two years of crackdowns and pandemic controls. Foreign investors want the same level of access that Chinese companies enjoy in Western markets. Private entrepreneurs in China are waiting for the government to provide more than just rhetoric regarding market access. For now, the PRC's private sector push is running into skepticism.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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